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Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Diriangen host Sport Sebaco in the Liga Primera. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sport Sebaco have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Diriangen have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Diriangen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward Diriangen. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Diriangen
20%
Draws
6%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Diriangen have won more games recently than Sport Sebaco.
  • Diriangen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 85 / 100
Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Sport Sebaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Diriangen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sport Sebaco has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS Sport Sebaco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Diriangen

(Home)
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
Page 1 of 7

Sport Sebaco

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)