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Discoveries vs Black Man Warrior

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Discoveries in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Discoveries.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Discoveries
20%
Draws
51%
Black Man Warrior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Discoveries have won more games recently than Black Man Warrior.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Discoveries have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Discoveries Clean Sheet 20%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Discoveries Black Man Warrior
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Black Man Warrior
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Discoveries
0:2
Feb 5, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Black Man Warrior
0:2
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Discoveries
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Discoveries 32 / 100
Black Man Warrior 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Discoveries Black Man Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Discoveries scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Black Man Warrior let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Discoveries has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Discoveries VS Black Man Warrior
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Discoveries

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
05 May
Wologizi
0 : 0
Discoveries
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
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Black Man Warrior

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)