Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moralo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Moralo lately — more wins on the board than Diter Zafra.
- Moralo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 16%
Moralo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diter Zafra | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 22 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Diter Zafra
3:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Moralo
3:0
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Moralo
3:3
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs Diter Zafra
5:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Moralo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Diter Zafra 10 / 100
Moralo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Diter Zafra Moralo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moralo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Diter Zafra scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Moralo conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Moralo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Diter Zafra
(Home) 12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2 Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3 Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0 Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4 UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3 Don Benito
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4 UP Plasencia
02 Apr
Diter Zafra
0 : 0 Cacereno
19 Mar
Diter Zafra
0 : 2 Jerez CF
05 Mar
Diter Zafra
2 : 5 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 3
Moralo
(Away) 27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0 CD Zafra
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
06 Sept
Moralo
2 : 1 Villanovense
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
13 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 3 Moralo
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0 Moralo
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1 Moralo
03 May
Santa Amalia
0 : 2 Moralo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 106:25 | 90 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 90:25 | 87 |
| 3 | Arroyo | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 78:23 | 84 |
| 4 | Jerez CF | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 69:24 | 81 |
| 5 | Don Benito | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 6 | CD Azuaga | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 75:47 | 62 |
| 7 | CD Calamonte | 38 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 68:66 | 62 |
| 8 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 49:41 | 59 |
| 9 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 10 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45:65 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:59 | 46 |
| 12 | Moralo | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 46:66 | 45 |
| 14 | CP Valdivia | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 34:63 | 43 |
| 15 | Olivenza FC | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 38:61 | 34 |
| 16 | CP Amanecer | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35:66 | 34 |
| 17 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 35:70 | 31 |
| 18 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 36:83 | 31 |
| 19 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 29:71 | 29 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pacense | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 42:80 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
