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Diyala vs Al Minaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Diyala host Al Minaa in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Al Minaa have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Diyala have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Diyala have won 0 to Al Minaa's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Diyala to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Diyala
30%
Draws
33%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diyala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diyala lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
  • Win probability leans Diyala's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Diyala Clean Sheet 20%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al Minaa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Diyala
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Minaa
0:0
Jul 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Diyala
3:0
Nov 7, 2024 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Minaa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 36 / 100
Al Minaa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyala found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Minaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Diyala remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Al Minaa
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Al Minaa

(Away)
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 11 7 3 1 18:9 24
2 Newroz 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
3 Al Naft 11 6 4 1 13:5 22
4 Al Shorta 11 5 5 1 12:5 20
5 Erbil 11 5 3 3 14:7 18
6 Al Zawraa 11 5 3 3 15:9 18
7 Al Golan 11 4 5 2 12:10 17
8 Duhok 11 3 6 2 19:15 15
9 Al Minaa 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 11 3 5 3 6:7 14
11 Al Talaba 11 3 5 3 11:14 14
12 Diyala 11 3 4 4 15:16 13
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 11 2 6 3 14:13 12
14 Al Mosul 11 3 3 5 11:16 12
15 Zakho 11 3 3 5 9:15 12
16 Al Gharraf 11 2 4 5 6:13 10
17 Al Karkh 11 2 3 6 14:19 9
18 Al Kahraba 11 1 5 5 7:13 8
19 Naft Missan 11 1 5 5 7:15 8
20 Karbala 11 1 3 7 9:22 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)