Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Diyala host Al Zawraa in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Diyala at 1.07 goals for, 1.33 against; Al Zawraa at 1.39 for, 0.81 against. Past meetings favor Al Zawraa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Al Zawraa to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Zawraa carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diyala | Al Zawraa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Diyala found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Diyala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Zawraa conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Diyala
(Home)Al Zawraa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Erbil | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
