Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Diyala vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Abdulsada M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Diyala and Duhok finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Diyala
39%
Draws
30%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Duhok carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Diyala Clean Sheet 11%
Duhok Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Duhok
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Duhok
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Stars League
Diyala vs Duhok
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
3:1
Jul 1, 2011 Stars League
Duhok vs Diyala
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulsada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Duhok Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 30 / 100
Duhok 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Diyala scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Diyala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Duhok
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
Page 1 of 7

Duhok

(Away)
20 Jul
Duhok
2 : 0
Tikves
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
15 May
Al Mosul
3 : 3
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)