Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djerdap vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina in this Srpska Liga - East matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Djerdap
6%
Draws
90%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagodina have won more games recently than Djerdap.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jagodina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djerdap Jagodina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 4.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
13:0
Nov 22, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djerdap 10 / 100
Jagodina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djerdap Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Djerdap scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Jagodina let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Djerdap went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djerdap VS Jagodina
2 Goals Scored 4.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Djerdap

(Home)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
06 Jun
Djerdap
1 : 5
OFK Bor 1919
31 May
Vlasina
2 : 1
Djerdap
23 May
Djerdap
1 : 0
Brzi Brod
16 May
Djerdap
3 : 1
Dunav Prahovo
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Jagodina

(Away)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
24 May
Radnicki Pirot
1 : 5
Jagodina
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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