Sport Picks
Match Events
79'
79'
Dadzie G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rwanda lately — more wins on the board than Djibouti.
- Rwanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Rwanda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Rwanda have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Djibouti | Rwanda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.79 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2024 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs Djibouti
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Djibouti vs Rwanda
1:0
Dec 2, 2011 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Djibouti
5:2
Dec 13, 2007 Friendly International
Djibouti vs Rwanda
0:9
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Djibouti Compare
Top Goalscorer Dadzie G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Rwanda Compare
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Djibouti 10 / 100
Rwanda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Djibouti Rwanda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Rwanda has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Djibouti scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Djibouti stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Djibouti VS Rwanda
0.13 Goals Scored 0.75
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Djibouti
(Home) 29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1 Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0 Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0 Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0 Djibouti
Page 1 of 6
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4 South Sudan
12 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 2 Sierra Leone
08 Oct
Djibouti
0 : 3 Egypt
05 Sept
Djibouti
0 : 6 Burkina Faso
27 Oct
Djibouti
1 : 0 Rwanda
Page 1 of 3
Rwanda
(Away) 30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0 Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0 Rwanda
10 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 1 Benin
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1 Rwanda
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0 Rwanda
09 Sept
Zimbabwe
0 : 1 Rwanda
06 Sept
Nigeria
1 : 0 Rwanda
09 Jun
Algeria
2 : 0 Rwanda
05 Jun
Algeria
2 : 0 Rwanda
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
