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Djibouti vs Rwanda Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship
Djibouti Logo

Djibouti

1 - 0
FT
Rwanda Logo

Rwanda

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Dadzie G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Djibouti
15%
Draws
68%
Rwanda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rwanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rwanda lately — more wins on the board than Djibouti.
  • Rwanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rwanda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rwanda, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rwanda have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%
Rwanda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djibouti Rwanda
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.78 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2024 African Nations Championship
Rwanda vs Djibouti
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Djibouti vs Rwanda
1:0
Dec 2, 2011 CECAFA Championship
Rwanda vs Djibouti
5:2
Dec 13, 2007 Friendly International
Djibouti vs Rwanda
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djibouti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadzie G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Rwanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djibouti 10 / 100
Rwanda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djibouti Rwanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rwanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Rwanda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Djibouti scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Djibouti stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djibouti VS Rwanda
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djibouti

(Home)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 6

Rwanda

(Away)
29 Sept
Cape Verde
1 : 2
Rwanda
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
14 Oct
South Africa
3 : 0
Rwanda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6