Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DJK Ammerthal vs Erlangen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 game between DJK Ammerthal and Erlangen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DJK Ammerthal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
DJK Ammerthal
15%
Draws
49%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • DJK Ammerthal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives DJK Ammerthal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and DJK Ammerthal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
DJK Ammerthal Clean Sheet 10%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DJK Ammerthal Erlangen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
DJK Ammerthal vs Erlangen
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs DJK Ammerthal
2:3
Nov 5, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs DJK Ammerthal
2:2
Jul 26, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
DJK Ammerthal vs Erlangen
5:2
May 1, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
DJK Ammerthal vs Erlangen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DJK Ammerthal 38 / 100
Erlangen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DJK Ammerthal Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DJK Ammerthal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlangen let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

DJK Ammerthal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Erlangen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DJK Ammerthal VS Erlangen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

DJK Ammerthal

(Home)
20 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
3 : 1
Nordlingen
12 Sept
Wurzburger FV
2 : 1
DJK Ammerthal
04 Sept
DJK Ammerthal
0 : 6
Aschaffenburg
27 Aug
Regensburg II
4 : 2
DJK Ammerthal
22 Aug
DJK Ammerthal
1 : 3
Gebenbach
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Erlangen

(Away)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)