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Djurgarden vs AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
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Match Events

10' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Besirovic D.
25' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Helm A.
32'
Larsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and AIK finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Djurgarden
20%
Draws
24%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of AIK on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Djurgarden taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 18%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden AIK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
1:3
May 10, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Djurgarden
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Djurgarden
0:0
May 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegland B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hove J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 85 / 100
AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

AIK let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Djurgarden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS AIK
2.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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AIK

(Away)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)