Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djurgarden vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Besirovic D.
25' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Helm A.
32'
Larsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and AIK finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Djurgarden
20%
Draws
47%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of AIK on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Djurgarden taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 20%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden AIK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
1:3
May 10, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Djurgarden
2:4
Aug 10, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Djurgarden
0:0
May 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs AIK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegland B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hove J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 40 / 100
AIK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

AIK let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Djurgarden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS AIK
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
10 Aug
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Djurgarden
03 Aug
Djurgarden
6 : 0
Vasteras SK
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

AIK

(Away)
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
08 Aug
Orgryte
3 : 4
AIK
02 Aug
AIK
0 : 3
Orgryte
27 Jul
Hacken
0 : 0
AIK
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 17 13 3 1 47:23 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 40:15 33
3 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
4 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
5 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 34:19 26
6 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 32:27 26
7 Hacken 16 6 7 3 28:26 25
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 21:16 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 25:27 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 17 5 4 8 22:38 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 21:28 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 17:27 16
15 Orgryte 17 3 4 10 21:40 13
16 Halmstad 16 1 4 11 11:33 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)