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Djurgarden vs Orgryte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Djurgarden host Orgryte in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Djurgarden have averaged 2.17 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Orgryte's 1.18 scored and 2.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Djurgarden slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.31 - 0.88) back Djurgarden to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Djurgarden
15%
Draws
7%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 20%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Orgryte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Djurgarden
0:0
May 1, 2013 Svenska Cupen
Djurgarden vs Orgryte
1:0
Oct 24, 2009 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Orgryte
2:1
May 31, 2009 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Djurgarden
0:0
Oct 25, 2006 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Djurgarden
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 85 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Orgryte let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Djurgarden stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Orgryte has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Orgryte
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
11 Oct
Hacken
3 : 0
Orgryte
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 23 14 2 7 48:21 44
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 23 8 6 9 36:41 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)