Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djurgarden vs Valerenga

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lien K.
46'
Sub
Langhoff P. In: Zugelj N.
Out: Langhoff P.
46'
Sub
Rinne J. In: Manojlovic F.
Out: Rinne J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Djurgarden and Valerenga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Djurgarden
20%
Draws
24%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Djurgarden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Djurgarden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Djurgarden have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 14%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Valerenga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.37 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Valerenga
2:1
Feb 12, 2017 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Valerenga
0:3
Mar 3, 2012 Club Friendly
Djurgarden vs Valerenga
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hegland B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Valerenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Haren L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 84 / 100
Valerenga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Valerenga let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Djurgarden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Valerenga
3 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
Page 1 of 6