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Stadium Background

Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Aslund P.
Assist: Lien K.
13' Event
Lien K.
28' Event
Stahl A.
Assist: Larsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and Vasteras SK finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Djurgarden
20%
Draws
38%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of Vasteras SK on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Djurgarden taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 15%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Vasteras SK
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
3:3
Oct 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK
2:1
May 5, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
0:2
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aslund P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Vasteras SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 41 / 100
Vasteras SK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Djurgarden has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vasteras SK let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Vasteras SK
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
13 Jul
Djurgarden
3 : 0
Halmstad
06 Jul
Hacken
2 : 4
Djurgarden
26 Jun
Sirius
1 : 1
Djurgarden
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
24 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Orgryte
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Halmstad
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 40:17 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Hacken 15 6 7 2 28:23 25
4 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 27:15 23
5 Malmo FF 15 7 2 6 30:25 23
6 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 24:23 22
7 AIK 15 6 4 5 18:21 22
8 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 19:21 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
12 Brommapojkarna 15 4 5 6 20:24 17
13 IFK Goteborg 15 4 4 7 19:33 16
14 Orgryte 15 3 4 8 17:33 13
15 Degerfors 15 2 4 9 12:26 10
16 Halmstad 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)