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Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
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Match Events

5' Event
Aslund P.
12' Event
Lien K.
28' Event
Stahl A.
Assist: Larsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and Vasteras SK finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Djurgarden
15%
Draws
36%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of Vasteras SK on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Djurgarden taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 68%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Vasteras SK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
1:0
Aug 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK
6:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vasteras SK vs Djurgarden
3:3
Oct 28, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Vasteras SK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aslund P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vasteras SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 59 / 100
Vasteras SK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Vasteras SK let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Djurgarden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Vasteras SK
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)