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Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev host BATE in the Vysshaya Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. BATE have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while Dnepr Mogilev have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Dnepr Mogilev slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.31, favoring BATE. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
16%
BATE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • BATE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 18%
BATE Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev BATE
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:3
Aug 21, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 31 / 100
BATE 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev BATE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

BATE has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Dnepr Mogilev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS BATE
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

BATE

(Away)
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)