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Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev play Vitebsk in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Vitebsk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Dnepr Mogilev won 0, Vitebsk won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.38 for Vitebsk. This points to a Vitebsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dnepr Mogilev
20%
Draws
48%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev picked up more points recently compared to Vitebsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 17%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 32 / 100
Vitebsk 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vitebsk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dnepr Mogilev attacking → ← attacking Vitebsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vitebsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50