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Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
45%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dnepr Mogilev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitebsk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 18%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.64 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 41 / 100
Vitebsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Vitebsk let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Dnepr Mogilev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Vitebsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
14 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
Belshina
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Vitebsk

(Away)
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
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