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Doce Mel U20 vs SSA U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel U20 play SSA U20 in the Baiano U20 2022. SSA U20 are favorites here. Recently, Doce Mel U20 averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.78 conceded. SSA U20 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Doce Mel U20 won 0, SSA U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Doce Mel U20 and 1.49 for SSA U20. This points to a SSA U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Doce Mel U20
20%
Draws
60%
SSA U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SSA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Doce Mel U20 picked up more points recently compared to SSA U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Doce Mel U20 Clean Sheet 16%
SSA U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel U20 SSA U20
Matches Played 23 37
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.78 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Baiano U20
Doce Mel U20 vs SSA U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel U20 21 / 100
SSA U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel U20 SSA U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSA U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick SSA U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Doce Mel U20 attacking → ← attacking SSA U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doce Mel U20 scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

SSA U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Doce Mel U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SSA U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia U20954022:619
2Camacariense U20954021:919
3Juazeirense U20953122:718
4Canaa U20953121:918
5ABB U20942321:1114
6UNIRB U20942316:1314
7Catuense U20931517:1510
8Leonico U2092075:206
9Doce Mel U2090184:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U20871024:722
2Jacuipense U20861124:619
3Vitoria da Conquista U2085129:916
4Fluminense de Feira U20842215:914
5Bahia de Feira U20832312:711
6Grapiuna U2082158:157
7Atlantico EC U2082066:186
8Botafogo BA U2081255:125
9Barcelona FC U2081078:283