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Doce Mel vs EC Olimpia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Olimpia in this Baiano 2 2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Doce Mel
20%
Draws
65%
EC Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Doce Mel have won more games recently than EC Olimpia.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on EC Olimpia taking it.
  • Doce Mel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Olimpia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 20%
EC Olimpia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel EC Olimpia
Matches Played 42 12
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 2
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 1.05 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 Baiano 2
EC Olimpia vs Doce Mel
0:3
May 19, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs EC Olimpia
1:2
Apr 14, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs EC Olimpia
1:1
Apr 7, 2019 Baiano 2
EC Olimpia vs Doce Mel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 10 / 100
EC Olimpia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel EC Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doce Mel's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: EC Olimpia conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.

Doce Mel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 9

EC Olimpia

(Away)
26 May
EC Olimpia
0 : 3
Doce Mel
19 May
Doce Mel
1 : 2
EC Olimpia
12 May
EC Olimpia
3 : 0
Galicia
05 May
UNIRB
1 : 0
EC Olimpia
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Doce Mel 4
EC Olimpia 2