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Doce Mel vs Galicia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2019
Doce Mel Logo

Doce Mel

1 - 0
FT
Galicia Logo

Galicia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2019 game between Doce Mel and Galicia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doce Mel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Doce Mel
20%
Draws
60%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galicia come out ahead of Doce Mel on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 12%
Galicia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Galicia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Doce Mel
0:2
Mar 16, 2019 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Galicia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 30 / 100
Galicia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galicia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galicia let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Galicia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Doce Mel scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galicia
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
Page 1 of 6

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Olimpia 10 7 2 1 19:5 23
2 Doce Mel 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
3 UNIRB 10 5 2 3 11:12 17
4 Cajazeiras 10 4 2 4 15:13 14
5 Canaa EC 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
6 Galicia 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2019 (Play Offs)