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Doce Mel vs Serrano

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2010
Doce Mel Logo

Doce Mel

0 - 1
FT
Serrano Logo

Serrano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serrano in this Baiano 2 2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Doce Mel
30%
Draws
47%
Serrano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano have won more games recently than Doce Mel.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Serrano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Doce Mel Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel Serrano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.77 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:1
Apr 17, 2010 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
2:0
Aug 31, 2008 Baiano 2
Doce Mel vs Serrano
0:0
Aug 23, 2008 Baiano 2
Serrano vs Doce Mel
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel 32 / 100
Serrano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel Serrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serrano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Serrano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Doce Mel scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel

(Home)
26 Feb
Alagoinhas
0 : 0
Doce Mel
11 Feb
Doce Mel
0 : 1
Bahia
08 Feb
Itabuna
1 : 1
Doce Mel
04 Feb
Doce Mel
1 : 2
Juazeirense
29 Jan
Barcelona FC
3 : 0
Doce Mel
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Serrano

(Away)
13 Sept
Central SC
3 : 0
Serrano
06 Sept
Serrano
3 : 1
Treze PB
30 Aug
Estanciano EC
3 : 1
Serrano
16 Aug
Serrano
0 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Serrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juazeirense 8 4 3 1 17:8 15
2 Camacariense 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
3 Catuense 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
4 Galicia 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
5 EC Ypiranga 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serrano 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 Juazeiro 8 5 1 2 16:12 16
3 Doce Mel 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
4 Esporte Clube Pocoes 8 1 2 5 11:19 5
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 4 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2010 (Play Offs)