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Doce Mel W vs Ipojuca W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Fri, May 23, 2025
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Portela
83' Event
Tamara

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel W in this Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Doce Mel W
20%
Draws
64%
Ipojuca W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ipojuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ipojuca W have won more games recently than Doce Mel W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Ipojuca W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Doce Mel W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 20%
Ipojuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W Ipojuca W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Doce Mel W vs Ipojuca W
2:1
May 18, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Ipojuca W vs Doce Mel W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doce Mel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Portela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Ipojuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 32 / 100
Ipojuca W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W Ipojuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipojuca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ipojuca W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Ipojuca W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Doce Mel W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS Ipojuca W
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
Page 1 of 6

Ipojuca W

(Away)
13 May
Sao Joao PI W
7 : 0
Ipojuca W
02 May
Mixto PB W
1 : 1
Ipojuca W
29 Apr
Ipojuca W
2 : 1
Remo W
25 Apr
Ipojuca W
0 : 4
Uniao RN W
17 Apr
R4 EC W
3 : 0
Ipojuca W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico-PI W 7
Tuna Luso W 2
Ypiranga AP W 1
Ceara W 2
UD Alagoana W 5
Juventude W 4
Doce Mel W 4
Ipojuca W 3
Vila Nova FC W 7
Rolim de Moura W 2
Galvez W 2
Operario MS W 4
Perolas Negras W 3
Brasil de Farroupilha W 1
Coritiba W 0
Itabirito W 3
Quarter-finals
Atletico-PI W 5
Ceara W 2
UD Alagoana W 1
Doce Mel W 2
Vila Nova FC W 3
Operario MS W 2
Perolas Negras W 2
Itabirito W 3
Semi-finals
Atletico-PI W 6
Doce Mel W 1
Vila Nova FC W 5
Itabirito W 4
Final
Atletico-PI W 5
Vila Nova FC W 2