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Doce Mel W vs Lusaca W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2022
Doce Mel W Logo

Doce Mel W

5 - 1
FT
Lusaca W Logo

Lusaca W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel W in this Baiano Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Doce Mel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Doce Mel W
15%
Draws
73%
Lusaca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusaca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Lusaca W have won more games recently than Doce Mel W.
  • Model gives Doce Mel W a 12% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 18%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel W Lusaca W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.92 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Lusaca W
5:1
Sep 4, 2021 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Doce Mel W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel W 49 / 100
Lusaca W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel W Lusaca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doce Mel W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Lusaca W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Lusaca W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Doce Mel W scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Doce Mel W VS Lusaca W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 7.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel W

(Home)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
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Lusaca W

(Away)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 6 1 0 36:4 19
2 Doce Mel W 7 5 1 1 25:7 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 31:11 15
4 Vitoria W 7 5 0 2 23:8 15
5 Juventude Conquista W 7 3 0 4 11:9 9
6 Jacuipense W 7 2 0 5 6:16 6
7 Lusaca W 7 1 0 6 5:25 3
8 Leonico W 7 0 0 7 2:59 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2022 (Play Offs)