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Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Castegnato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dolomiti Bellunesi play Castegnato in the Serie D - Group C 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dolomiti Bellunesi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Castegnato averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Dolomiti Bellunesi won 2, Castegnato won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 18, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Dolomiti Bellunesi and 1.38 for Castegnato. This points to a Dolomiti Bellunesi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
17%
Draws
13%
Castegnato
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Castegnato.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 68%
Castegnato Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dolomiti Bellunesi Castegnato
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Castegnato
2:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Castegnato vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldassar S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Paoli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Castegnato Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 77 / 100
Castegnato 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dolomiti Bellunesi Castegnato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolomiti Bellunesi scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Castegnato let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dolomiti Bellunesi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Castegnato lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dolomiti Bellunesi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clodiense34255449:1780
2Dolomiti Bellunesi34199656:2566
3Treviso341931251:3760
4Bassano Virtus341591035:3054
5Campodarsego341215742:2651
6Este341312944:3351
7Montecchio Maggiore341491148:4051
8Adriese3413111054:4150
9Portogruaro341391252:4348
10Mestre341391234:3748
11Montebelluna3411121135:4145
12Chions3410111340:5041
13Luparense FC341091538:4139
14Breno348131339:4937
15Cjarlins Muzane347141330:3735
16Castegnato347121539:5833
17Virtus Bolzano344121825:5224
18Mori34362522:7615