Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group A Zugni Tauro

Pergolettese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dolomiti Bellunesi play Pergolettese in the Serie C - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dolomiti Bellunesi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Pergolettese averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Dolomiti Bellunesi won 1, Pergolettese won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Dolomiti Bellunesi and 1.56 for Pergolettese. This points to a Dolomiti Bellunesi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Dolomiti Bellunesi

25%

Draws

35%

Pergolettese

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Dolomiti Bellunesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Dolomiti Bellunesi picked up more points recently compared to Pergolettese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 15%

Pergolettese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dolomiti Bellunesi	Pergolettese
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	6	9
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Pergolettese

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A

Pergolettese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Olonisakin T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tremolada M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dolomiti Bellunesi 39 / 100

Pergolettese 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dolomiti Bellunesi Pergolettese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dolomiti Bellunesi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dolomiti Bellunesi attacking → ← attacking Pergolettese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dolomiti Bellunesi scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Pergolettese let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dolomiti Bellunesi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pergolettese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 30

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vicenza	38	27	8	3	69:26	89
2	Union Brescia	38	19	12	7	49:24	69
3	Renate	38	17	13	8	53:37	64
4	Lecco	38	18	10	10	47:34	64
5	Trento	38	16	15	7	58:42	63
6	Cittadella	38	17	8	13	45:43	59
7	Lumezzane	38	14	14	10	46:39	56
8	Alcione Milano	38	15	10	13	35:28	55
9	Arzignano	38	15	8	15	50:48	53
10	Giana Erminio	38	14	10	14	38:39	52
11	AlbinoLeffe	38	13	11	14	51:49	50
12	Inter U23	38	12	12	14	40:41	48
13	Novara	38	9	20	9	40:39	47
14	Pro Vercelli	38	13	7	18	39:55	46
15	Ospitaletto	38	10	15	13	41:43	45
16	Pergolettese	38	10	11	17	37:50	41
17	Dolomiti Bellunesi	38	10	10	18	38:61	40
18	Virtus Verona	38	3	16	19	34:62	25
19	Pro Patria	38	4	11	23	34:70	23
20	Triestina	38	9	9	20	45:59	12