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Dominica U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dominica U17 W play Bermuda U17 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U17 2024. Bermuda U17 W are favorites here. Recently, Dominica U17 W averaged 0.17 goals scored and 7.67 conceded. Bermuda U17 W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 5 conceded. In past meetings, Dominica U17 W won 0, Bermuda U17 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2023 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.02 for Dominica U17 W and 4.00 for Bermuda U17 W. This points to a Bermuda U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Dominica U17 W
15%
Draws
65%
Bermuda U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bermuda U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominica U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Bermuda U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.02 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Dominica U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Bermuda U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica U17 W Bermuda U17 W
Matches Played 6 20
Wins 0 5
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 0.17 1.6
Goals Conceded 7.67 5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.67 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2023 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Dominica U17 W vs Bermuda U17 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forde L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.09

Bermuda U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lightbourne K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castle Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica U17 W 20 / 100
Bermuda U17 W 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica U17 W Bermuda U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bermuda U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bermuda U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dominica U17 W attacking → ← attacking Bermuda U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominica U17 W scored in 17% of their last 6 games.

Bermuda U17 W let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dominica U17 W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bermuda U17 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 16
0.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
7.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador U17 W330025:09
2Trinidad & Tobago U17 W32019:66
3Cayman Islands U17 W31021:163
4Curacao U17 W30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haiti U17 W220018:06
2Cuba U17 W21016:63
3Barbados U17 W20020:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Costa Rica U17 W22007:16
2Guatemala U17 W20021:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Puerto Rico U17 W330013:29
2Nicaragua U17 W311112:34
3Honduras U17 W31117:34
4United States Virgin Islands U17 W30030:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama U17 W21102:14
2Jamaica U17 W20111:21
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U17 W220030:06
2Bermuda U17 W21014:103
3Dominica U17 W20021:250