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Dominica vs Puerto Rico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Windsor Park, Roseau
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sulia R.
23'
Thomas B.
37' Event
Rivera W.
Assist: Cutler A. L.

AI Match Summary

Puerto Rico in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Rico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dominica
15%
Draws
59%
Puerto Rico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puerto Rico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dominica haven't matched Puerto Rico's recent run of results.
  • Puerto Rico are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dominica Clean Sheet 17%
Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica Puerto Rico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Puerto Rico
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Puerto Rico Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivera W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica 28 / 100
Puerto Rico 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica Puerto Rico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puerto Rico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dominica scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Puerto Rico has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Dominica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dominica VS Puerto Rico
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica

(Home)
04 Oct
Guyana
8 : 1
Dominica
01 Oct
Dominica
1 : 5
Guyana
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
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Puerto Rico

(Away)
04 Oct
Puerto Rico
1 : 0
Cayman Islands
02 Oct
Cayman Islands
0 : 3
Puerto Rico
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
24 Sept
Puerto Rico
0 : 1
Guyana
05 Jun
Puerto Rico
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
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