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Dominican Republic U20 vs Italy U20

World World

World Cup U20 2023 Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
de Pena G.
19' Event
Casadei C.
Assist: Ambrosino G.
25'
Sub
de Pena G. In: Vasquez Silverio M. A.
Out: de Pena G.

AI Match Summary

The World Cup U20 2023 game between Dominican Republic U20 and Italy U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dominican Republic U20
6%
Draws
4%
Italy U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dominican Republic U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic U20's 2.75 goals per match outpaces what Italy U20 have produced (2).
  • Model gives Dominican Republic U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dominican Republic U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic U20 Italy U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 1 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 World Cup U20
Dominican Republic U20 vs Italy U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casadei C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ambrosino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic U20 85 / 100
Italy U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic U20 Italy U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dominican Republic U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Italy U20 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dominican Republic U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic U20 VS Italy U20
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina U20330010:19
2Uzbekistan U2031115:44
3New Zealand U2031113:74
4Guatemala U2030030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U2033006:09
2Ecuador U20320111:26
3Slovakia U2031025:43
4Fiji U2030030:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia U2032105:37
2Israel U2031114:44
3Japan U2031023:43
4Senegal U2030212:32
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil U20320110:36
2Italy U2032016:46
3Nigeria U2032014:36
4Dominican Republic U2030031:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U2032104:27
2Uruguay U2032017:36
3Tunisia U2031023:23
4Iraq U2030120:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gambia U2032104:27
2South Korea U2031204:35
3France U2031025:53
4Honduras U2030124:71