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Dominican Republic vs Haiti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Olímpico Félix Sánchez, Santo Domingo
Dominican Republic Logo

Dominican Republic

1 - 4
FT
Haiti Logo

Haiti

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Experience M.
9' Event
Deedson L.
Assist: Providence R.
10'
Sub
Firpo J. In: Peter Federico
Out: Firpo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Haiti in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dominican Republic
15%
Draws
42%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dominican Republic haven't matched Haiti's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dominican Republic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 16%
Haiti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominican Republic Haiti
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 17 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.29 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominican Republic vs Haiti
1:4
Mar 27, 2013 Friendly International
Haiti vs Dominican Republic
0:0
Mar 24, 2013 Friendly International
Dominican Republic vs Haiti
3:1
Dec 9, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Dominican Republic vs Haiti
1:2
Apr 16, 1976 World Championship
Haiti vs Dominican Republic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominican Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Isidor W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Deedson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominican Republic 36 / 100
Haiti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominican Republic Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Haiti conceded in 62% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dominican Republic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dominican Republic VS Haiti
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominican Republic

(Home)
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2
Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 7

Haiti

(Away)
05 Oct
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Haiti
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4
Haiti
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Costa Rica 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
5 Trinidad & Tobago 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
6 Nicaragua 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Jamaica 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Suriname 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Honduras 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Martinique 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
6 El Salvador 4 1 1 2 4:10 4
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)