Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Domzale vs Maribor

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Športni park Domžale, Domžale
Wed, Feb 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Domzale host Maribor in the Prva liga 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Domzale at 1.08 goals for, 1.92 against; Maribor at 1.54 for, 1.04 against. Past meetings favor Maribor slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.30) back Maribor to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Domzale
30%
Draws
51%
Maribor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maribor come out ahead of Domzale on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Domzale Clean Sheet 19%
Maribor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Domzale Maribor
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.08 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Domzale
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Prva liga
Domzale vs Maribor
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Domzale
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Maribor
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Prva liga
Domzale vs Maribor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Domzale 36 / 100
Maribor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Domzale Maribor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Domzale scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.

Defensive concern: Maribor conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Domzale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Domzale VS Maribor
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Domzale

(Home)
05 Dec
Koper
2 : 1
Domzale
30 Nov
Domzale
1 : 0
Bravo
22 Nov
Domzale
0 : 2
Celje
08 Nov
Aluminij
3 : 1
Domzale
03 Nov
Domzale
3 : 3
Mura
Page 1 of 3

Maribor

(Away)
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
23 Aug
Maribor
3 : 1
Bravo
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Maribor
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)