Sport Picks
Don Benito vs CD Diocesano Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Lopez C.
36'
36'
Copete N.
41'
41'
Copete N.
AI Match Summary
Don Benito in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Don Benito.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Benito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Don Benito have won more games recently than CD Diocesano.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Don Benito taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Don Benito have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Don Benito | CD Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.40 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Diocesano
8:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Don Benito
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Diocesano
1:0
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Don Benito
0:2
Apr 30, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Don Benito vs CD Diocesano
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Don Benito Compare
Top Goalscorer Platero P.
3 Goals Assists Leader Copete N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2
CD Diocesano Compare
Top Goalscorer Nagera A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Don Benito 95 / 100
CD Diocesano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Don Benito CD Diocesano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Don Benito scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CD Diocesano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Don Benito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Don Benito VS CD Diocesano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Don Benito
(Home) 03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0 Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0 Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0 Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2 Don Benito
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0 Sanluqueno
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0 Las Palmas B
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0 Puertollano C.F.
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 4
CD Diocesano
(Away) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
05 Apr
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 CD Diocesano
02 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 1 CD Diocesano
22 Mar
Jaraiz
3 : 0 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
