Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015

Deportivo Pacense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Don Benito play Deportivo Pacense in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015. Don Benito are favorites here. Recently, Don Benito averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Deportivo Pacense averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Don Benito won 3, Deportivo Pacense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Don Benito and 0.75 for Deportivo Pacense. This points to a Don Benito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Don Benito

24%

Draws

16%

Deportivo Pacense

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Don Benito picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Pacense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Don Benito Clean Sheet 27%

Deportivo Pacense Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Don Benito	Deportivo Pacense
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	20	5
Draws	8	7
Losses	4	18
Goals Scored	2.13	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Deportivo Pacense

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Deportivo Pacense vs Don Benito

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

2:3

May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Deportivo Pacense vs Don Benito

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Deportivo Pacense

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 59 / 100

Deportivo Pacense 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Don Benito Deportivo Pacense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)

Secondary Pick Don Benito & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Don Benito attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Pacense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Deportivo Pacense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Don Benito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Pacense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 22

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Merida	38	31	5	2	101:20	98
2	Extremadura UD	38	26	9	3	86:24	87
3	Jerez CF	38	25	6	7	70:18	81
4	CD Badajoz	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
5	CD Coria	38	20	6	12	55:40	66
6	Moralo	38	19	8	11	65:44	65
7	Don Benito	38	18	10	10	48:37	64
8	CD Azuaga	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
9	Pueblonuevo	38	13	13	12	50:42	52
10	Santa Amalia	38	15	6	17	44:50	51
11	Diter Zafra	38	12	14	12	51:48	50
12	Fuente de Cantos	38	12	6	20	39:61	42
13	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	13	3	22	48:75	42
14	Olivenza FC	38	11	7	20	46:69	40
15	CP Valdivia	38	10	7	21	43:73	37
16	Sanvicenteno	38	9	7	22	34:61	34
17	Deportivo Pacense	38	9	6	23	46:93	33
18	Castuera	38	8	9	21	39:68	33
19	UP Plasencia	38	6	9	23	49:83	27
20	Hernan Cortes	38	6	9	23	35:83	27