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Don Benito vs RCP Valverdeno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Rodao J.
65' Event
Domingo Domingo

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between Don Benito and RCP Valverdeno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Don Benito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Don Benito
15%
Draws
27%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • RCP Valverdeno haven't matched Don Benito's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Don Benito's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Don Benito have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Benito RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 27 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs RCP Valverdeno
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Don Benito
1:4
Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs RCP Valverdeno
4:1
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Don Benito
1:3
Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Don Benito
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodao J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Domingo Domingo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 95 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Benito RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 89% of their last 38 games.

RCP Valverdeno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Don Benito remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Don Benito VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Benito

(Home)
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 8

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)