Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011

Sp. Villanueva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Don Benito play Sp. Villanueva in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011. Don Benito are favorites here. Recently, Don Benito averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Sp. Villanueva averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Don Benito won 0, Sp. Villanueva won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 13, 2011 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Don Benito and 0.75 for Sp. Villanueva. This points to a Don Benito double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Don Benito

34%

Draws

10%

Sp. Villanueva

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Don Benito picked up more points recently compared to Sp. Villanueva.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Don Benito Clean Sheet 27%

Sp. Villanueva Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Don Benito	Sp. Villanueva
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	1
Draws	8	6
Losses	4	23
Goals Scored	2.07	0.33
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Sp. Villanueva

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

2:4

Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Don Benito

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Benito vs Sp. Villanueva

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Don Benito

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Don Benito

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Benito 56 / 100

Sp. Villanueva 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Don Benito Sp. Villanueva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (1)

Secondary Pick Don Benito & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +24%

4.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Don Benito attacking → ← attacking Sp. Villanueva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Benito scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Sp. Villanueva let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Don Benito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sp. Villanueva lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 9

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villanovense	38	29	6	3	83:30	93
2	Sp. Villanueva	38	29	5	4	81:24	92
3	Arroyo	38	20	10	8	62:36	70
4	Jerez CF	38	18	10	10	61:32	64
5	Merida UD	38	15	13	10	48:32	58
6	Santa Amalia	38	15	11	12	55:49	56
7	Don Benito	38	16	8	14	48:47	56
8	Moralo	38	14	12	12	47:45	54
9	Miajadas	38	15	9	14	38:41	54
10	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:39	51
11	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	14	7	17	41:47	49
12	Diter Zafra	38	13	10	15	45:50	49
13	UP Plasencia	38	11	14	13	39:48	47
14	CD Coria	38	12	11	15	42:52	47
15	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	12	8	18	52:61	44
16	UD Badajoz	38	12	6	20	53:68	42
17	Valdelacalzada	38	10	9	19	38:52	39
18	CD Santa Marta	38	9	8	21	34:58	35
19	Olivenza CP	38	6	12	20	39:72	30
20	Imperio Merida	38	5	3	30	28:98	18