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Don Bosco Garelli vs Mendiola FC 1991

Philippines Philippines

PFL
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AI Match Summary

Don Bosco Garelli play Mendiola FC 1991 in the PFL. Don Bosco Garelli are favorites here. Recently, Don Bosco Garelli averaged 1.9 goals scored and 4.1 conceded. Mendiola FC 1991 averaged 0.94 goals scored and 4.48 conceded. In past meetings, Don Bosco Garelli won 3, Mendiola FC 1991 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Don Bosco Garelli and 1.69 for Mendiola FC 1991. This points to a Don Bosco Garelli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Don Bosco Garelli
15%
Draws
20%
Mendiola FC 1991
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Don Bosco Garelli picked up more points recently compared to Mendiola FC 1991.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 13%
Mendiola FC 1991 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Bosco Garelli Mendiola FC 1991
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 3
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 4.1 4.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Mendiola FC 1991
3:3
Mar 7, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Mendiola FC 1991
4:0
Oct 18, 2025 PFL
Mendiola FC 1991 vs Don Bosco Garelli
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Mendiola FC 1991
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimura K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamaguchi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Mendiola FC 1991 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perilla J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbida Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Bosco Garelli 61 / 100
Mendiola FC 1991 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Bosco Garelli Mendiola FC 1991

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Don Bosco Garelli & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.18
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Don Bosco Garelli attacking → ← attacking Mendiola FC 1991

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Don Bosco Garelli scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Mendiola FC 1991 let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Don Bosco Garelli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mendiola FC 1991 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 15
3.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75