Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Kimura K.
40' Event
Kimura K.
45' Event
Kimura K.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Don Bosco Garelli and Tuloy finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Don Bosco Garelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Don Bosco Garelli
20%
Draws
23%
Tuloy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tuloy haven't matched Don Bosco Garelli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Don Bosco Garelli a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%
Tuloy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Don Bosco Garelli Tuloy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 1 3
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.9 1.72
Goals Conceded 4.1 5
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 PFL
Tuloy vs Don Bosco Garelli
2:4
Apr 18, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 PFL
Tuloy vs Don Bosco Garelli
3:0
May 11, 2024 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Tuloy
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimura K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Tuloy Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupango J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
Tuloy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Don Bosco Garelli Tuloy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuloy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Don Bosco Garelli's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Don Bosco Garelli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Don Bosco Garelli VS Tuloy
3.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Don Bosco Garelli

(Home)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
Page 1 of 6

Tuloy

(Away)
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Maharlika Manila
4 : 2
Tuloy
24 May
Mendiola FC 1991
1 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Tuloy
1 : 1
Maharlika Manila
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)