Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gibbons M.
59' Event
Watson J.
64' Event
Hartridge A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Doncaster U23
20%
Draws
29%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Doncaster U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Exeter U23 lately — more wins on the board than Doncaster U23.
  • Doncaster U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Doncaster U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2020 Premier League Cup
Doncaster U23 vs Exeter U23
2:2
Nov 26, 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Doncaster U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbons M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartridge A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kite H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster U23 56 / 100
Exeter U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doncaster U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doncaster U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (13 games).

Exeter U23 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Doncaster U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster U23 VS Exeter U23
1.86 Goals Scored 2
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster U23

(Home)
06 Mar
West Brom U23
6 : 1
Doncaster U23
24 Feb
Doncaster U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
29 Jan
Doncaster U23
4 : 0
Aston Villa U23
21 Jan
Portsmouth U23
2 : 4
Doncaster U23
26 Nov
Exeter U23
1 : 0
Doncaster U23
Page 1 of 3

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
2 Reading U23 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
3 Colchester U23 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Swansea U23 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
2 Fulham U23 6 3 0 3 13:11 9
3 Watford U23 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Plymouth U23 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Hull City U23 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Scunthorpe U23 6 0 2 4 7:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Doncaster U23 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Aston Villa U23 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
4 Portsmouth U23 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Southampton U23 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Nottingham U23 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Wigan U23 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Huddersfield U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Sunderland U23 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
3 Burnley U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Crystal Palace U23 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 18:7 12
2 Wolves U23 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Leeds U23 6 0 3 3 5:14 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)