Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Doncaster vs Cardiff

England England

League One 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Robertson A.
Assist: Lawlor D.
45'
Gotts R.
46' Event
Lawlor D.
Assist: Ng P.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Doncaster and Cardiff finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Doncaster
39%
Draws
31%
Cardiff
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cardiff here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doncaster Cardiff
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Cardiff
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Cardiff vs Doncaster
4:3
Jan 14, 2012 Championship
Doncaster vs Cardiff
0:0
Sep 10, 2011 Championship
Cardiff vs Doncaster
2:0
Apr 9, 2011 Championship
Doncaster vs Cardiff
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Doncaster Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Cardiff Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawlor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doncaster 29 / 100
Cardiff 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doncaster Cardiff

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Doncaster scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Cardiff has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Doncaster VS Cardiff
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Doncaster

(Home)
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0
Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2
Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5
Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)