Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Robertson A.
Assist: Lawlor D.
45'
45'
Gotts R.
46'
46'
Lawlor D.
Assist: Ng P.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Doncaster and Cardiff finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Cardiff carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Doncaster's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cardiff here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 14%
Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Doncaster vs Cardiff
0:4
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Cardiff vs Doncaster
4:3
Jan 14, 2012 Championship
Doncaster vs Cardiff
0:0
Sep 10, 2011 Championship
Cardiff vs Doncaster
2:0
Apr 9, 2011 Championship
Doncaster vs Cardiff
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Cardiff Compare
Top Goalscorer Robertson A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lawlor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 41 / 100
Cardiff 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Cardiff
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cardiff conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Doncaster scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Cardiff registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Cardiff
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
29 Aug
Stevenage
2 : 2 Doncaster
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3 Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
Cardiff
(Away) 12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0 Cardiff
02 Sept
QPR
2 : 1 Cardiff
22 Aug
Derby
2 : 2 Cardiff
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
