This match ends 2-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
Doncaster
28%
Draws
22%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 28%Favored: Doncaster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
Look at the last few games and Doncaster come out ahead of Everton U21 on wins alone.
Doncaster are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Doncaster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals96%
Over 1.5 Goals85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)71.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet10%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Doncaster
Everton U21
Matches Played
28
30
Wins
14
12
Draws
6
4
Losses
8
14
Goals Scored
1.5
2.83
Goals Conceded
1.5
2.17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.50
2.17
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2025EFL Trophy
DoncastervsEverton U21
2:1
Sep 19, 2023EFL Trophy
DoncastervsEverton U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top GoalscorerHanlan B.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderSbarra J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.15
Avg xA / game0.75
Everton U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerClarke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game2.57
Avg xA / game1.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster47 / 100
Everton U2122 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Everton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickDON Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Everton U21 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Doncaster remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Doncaster's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.