Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sharp B.
Assist: Middleton G.
46'
46'
Sub
Morrison G. In: Bonds E.
Out: Morrison G.
52'
52'
Sharp B.
Assist: Broadbent G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleetwood Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Doncaster have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Fleetwood Town are scoring more at 1.35.
- Doncaster are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 15%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
3:1
Jan 1, 2025 League Two
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
2:1
Dec 4, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster
2:4
Mar 19, 2022 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster
0:0
Jan 8, 2022 League One
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Adelakun H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 41 / 100
Fleetwood Town 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Doncaster found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Fleetwood Town let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Doncaster stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Fleetwood Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2 Doncaster
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 3 Huddersfield
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
25 Aug
Doncaster
1 : 3 Middlesbrough
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
