Sport Picks
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Eco-Power Stadium, Doncaster 
Match Events
25'
25'
Sharp B.
Assist: Middleton G.
46'
46'
Sub
Morrison G. In: Bonds E.
Out: Morrison G.
52'
52'
Sharp B.
Assist: Broadbent G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Doncaster advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fleetwood Town haven't matched Doncaster's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Doncaster have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Doncaster, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 18%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Doncaster | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2026 EFL Trophy
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
3:1
Jan 1, 2025 League Two
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
2:1
Dec 4, 2024 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster
2:4
Mar 19, 2022 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Doncaster
0:0
Jan 8, 2022 League One
Doncaster vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Doncaster Compare
Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Adelakun H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Doncaster 31 / 100
Fleetwood Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Doncaster Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Doncaster found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Fleetwood Town let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Doncaster stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Doncaster VS Fleetwood Town
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Doncaster
(Home) 29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2 Wolves
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2 Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5 Doncaster
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2 Wolves
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
21 Apr
Doncaster
0 : 2 Lincoln City
11 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 0 Reading
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Bolton
21 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 Huddersfield
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
14 Jul
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Chester
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Southport
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
11 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 5 Fleetwood Town
25 Apr
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
11 Apr
Accrington
1 : 2 Fleetwood Town
03 Apr
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3
