Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Dongen and Gemert finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dongen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Dongen's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dongen | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
3:2
Apr 23, 2023 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
1:0
Jun 2, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
3:3
Aug 29, 2021 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dongen 34 / 100
Gemert 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dongen Gemert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dongen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Gemert's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Dongen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dongen VS Gemert
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dongen
(Home) 11 Oct
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 0 Dongen
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4 Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 3
Gemert
(Away) 10 Oct
VV Noordwijk
4 : 0 Gemert
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2 Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
VV Noordwijk
4 : 0 Gemert
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2 Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3 Gemert
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
