Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dongen vs Gemert

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dongen host Gemert in the Derde Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gemert have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Dongen have conceded 1.73 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Dongen have won 1 to Gemert's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Gemert to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Dongen
35%
Draws
23%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dongen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dongen's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dongen Clean Sheet 15%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dongen Gemert
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
1:0
Jun 2, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Gemert
3:3
Aug 29, 2021 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
2:1
May 24, 2021 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Dongen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dongen 75 / 100
Gemert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dongen Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dongen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Dongen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gemert conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Dongen VS Gemert
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dongen

(Home)
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
06 Jun
VV Heerjansdam
1 : 2
Dongen
03 Jun
Dongen
1 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
30 May
SVV Scheveningen
0 : 2
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

Gemert

(Away)
23 Aug
Gemert
2 : 2
GOES
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Gemert
07 Jul
Gemert
1 : 1
Helmond Sport
23 May
GOES
3 : 3
Gemert
16 May
Gemert
6 : 1
SteDoCo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Genemuiden 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 ACV Assen 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Harkemase Boys 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Purmersteijn 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 TEC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 VV Hoogeveen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
9 Eemdijk 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
10 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Sportlust 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
12 VV DOVO 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 SVZW Wierden 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
14 Sparta Nijkerk 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
15 Staphorst 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 HVV Hollandia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 USV Hercules 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Dongen 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Lisse 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Excelsior Maassluis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 RKSV UDI 19 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 GOES 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
7 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 SV Poortugaal 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 VVSB 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 Gemert 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
11 UNA 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Rijnvogels 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 TOGB 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
15 VV Zwaluwen 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
16 EVV 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
17 Groene Ster 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
18 Achilles Veen 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)