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Dongen vs Jong Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, May 10, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dongen host Jong Den Haag in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Jong Den Haag have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Dongen have conceded 1.91 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Dongen have won 0 to Jong Den Haag's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Jong Den Haag. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dongen
15%
Draws
42%
Jong Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dongen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dongen come out ahead of Jong Den Haag on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jong Den Haag's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dongen Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dongen Jong Den Haag
Matches Played 34 19
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2020 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs Jong Den Haag
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Derde Divisie
Jong Den Haag vs Dongen
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dongen 12 / 100
Jong Den Haag 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dongen Jong Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong Den Haag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dongen scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Jong Den Haag has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Jong Den Haag registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dongen VS Jong Den Haag
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dongen

(Home)
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3
GOES
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2
Gemert
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
Page 1 of 7

Jong Den Haag

(Away)
02 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 0
Jong Den Haag
12 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1
Jong Den Haag
22 Nov
Jong Den Haag
7 : 0
Jong Maastricht
18 Oct
Jong Den Haag
4 : 2
Jong Sittard
07 Oct
Jong Den Haag
0 : 1
Jong Willem II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)