Sport Picks

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Donn vs Sandefjord 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pettersen S. B.
50' Event
Sersland A.
56' Event
Ingebrethsen S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2023 game between Donn and Sandefjord 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Donn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Donn
15%
Draws
28%
Sandefjord 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Donn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandefjord 2 come out ahead of Donn on wins alone.
  • Donn are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Donn Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Donn Sandefjord 2
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.44
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Donn vs Sandefjord 2
3:2
Apr 17, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Sandefjord 2 vs Donn
6:1
Sep 10, 2018 Division 3 - Group 3
Sandefjord 2 vs Donn
2:2
May 22, 2018 Division 3 - Group 3
Donn vs Sandefjord 2
4:3
Sep 6, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Donn vs Sandefjord 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Donn Compare

Top Goalscorer Sersland A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hagalid T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sandefjord 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pettersen S. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wingsternaes P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Donn 38 / 100
Sandefjord 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Donn Sandefjord 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Donn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sandefjord 2 conceded in 89% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Donn found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sandefjord 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Donn VS Sandefjord 2
0 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Donn

(Home)
17 Feb
Start
2 : 0
Donn
07 Feb
Mandalskameratene
1 : 5
Donn
29 Oct
Vindbjart
7 : 3
Donn
22 Oct
Donn
1 : 2
Mjondalen 2
14 Oct
Randesund
1 : 2
Donn
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Sandefjord 2

(Away)
15 Aug
Sandefjord 2
4 : 1
Bjorkelangen
10 Aug
Drobak-Frogn
1 : 0
Sandefjord 2
01 Aug
Sandefjord 2
1 : 3
Gjovik-Lyn
25 Jul
Elverum
5 : 3
Sandefjord 2
27 Jun
Orn
4 : 3
Sandefjord 2
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