Sport Picks
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Club Atletico Morelia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan 
Match Events
4'
4'
Lopez Aburto R.
Assist: Aguilar D.
45'
45'
Pena F.
46'
46'
Sub
Egana A. In: Leyva C.
Out: Egana A.
AI Match Summary
Club Atletico Morelia in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Atletico Morelia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Club Atletico Morelia have won more games recently than Dorados de Sinaloa.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Club Atletico Morelia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 15%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorados de Sinaloa | Club Atletico Morelia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Club Atletico Morelia
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Dorados de Sinaloa
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Club Atletico Morelia
5:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Dorados de Sinaloa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Club Atletico Morelia Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez Aburto R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorados de Sinaloa 15 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorados de Sinaloa Club Atletico Morelia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Atletico Morelia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dorados de Sinaloa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Club Atletico Morelia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Dorados de Sinaloa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorados de Sinaloa VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Home) 11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 3
Club Atletico Morelia
(Away) 10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
04 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 1 Tlaxcala
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
29 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
