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Dordoi Bishkek vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mashlab K.
84' Event
Hamed Y.
Assist: Batyrkanov E.
1' Event
Mishchenko A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Dordoi Bishkek
20%
Draws
61%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Homs Al Fidaa come out ahead of Dordoi Bishkek on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Homs Al Fidaa taking it.
  • Homs Al Fidaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Homs Al Fidaa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dordoi Bishkek Clean Sheet 16%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordoi Bishkek Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.5 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Dordoi Bishkek vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordoi Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamed Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashlab K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordoi Bishkek 10 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordoi Bishkek Homs Al Fidaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dordoi Bishkek scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Homs Al Fidaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dordoi Bishkek stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dordoi Bishkek VS Homs Al Fidaa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordoi Bishkek

(Home)
08 Oct
Ozgon
3 : 2
Dordoi Bishkek
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
30 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
4 : 0
Abdysh-Ata Kant
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
Page 1 of 6

Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dordoi Bishkek 1
Homs Al Fidaa 2
Fortis 1
Muras United 0
Al Ittihad Aleppo 1
Bangladesh Police 0
Maziya 0
Regar-TadAZ 3
Paro 2
Abu Muslim 0
Taiwan Steel 3
Central Stallions 2
FC Ulaanbaatar 1
Hang Yuen 2
Ezra 1
Yangon United 2
Kasuka 2
Karketu Dili 1