Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 M-Scores Stadion

Dordrecht

1 - 0

FC Emmen

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Everink L.

50'

Carrillo S.

Assist: Yoon D.

55'

Sub

Kongolo R. In: Sadiku A.

Out: Kongolo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dordrecht in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dordrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Dordrecht

Draws

FC Emmen

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dordrecht have won more games recently than FC Emmen.
Model gives Dordrecht a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Dordrecht Clean Sheet 12%

FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dordrecht	FC Emmen
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.25	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs FC Emmen

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Sep 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Dordrecht

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Feb 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs FC Emmen

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Aug 9, 2024 Eerste Divisie

FC Emmen vs Dordrecht

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

May 18, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Dordrecht vs FC Emmen

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Emmen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 83 / 100

FC Emmen 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dordrecht FC Emmen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Emmen conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Dordrecht found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dordrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS FC Emmen

0.88 Goals Scored 1.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35