Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dordrecht vs Roda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Vetkal M.
19' Event
van den Hurk A.
24' Event
van den Hurk A.
Assist: Kruiver J.

AI Match Summary

Roda in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Dordrecht
11%
Draws
9%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dordrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Dordrecht have won more games recently than Roda.
  • Dordrecht are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dordrecht Roda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
0:3
Nov 25, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs Roda
2:1
Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Dordrecht
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Hurk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Griffith I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dordrecht 74 / 100
Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dordrecht Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roda has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Dordrecht found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dordrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dordrecht VS Roda
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dordrecht

(Home)
01 Aug
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Anderlecht U23
25 Jul
Dordrecht
2 : 2
Al Khaleej
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
14 Jul
Dordrecht
4 : 1
Dortmund II
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
01 Aug
Roda
2 : 4
Alemannia Aachen
17 Jul
Roda
1 : 0
Beerschot VA
10 Jul
Cambuur
2 : 1
Roda
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
30 Jun
VV Chevremont
0 : 10
Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)