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Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Meadowbank
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers play Bath City in the National League South 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dorking Wanderers averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. Bath City averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Dorking Wanderers won 2, Bath City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Dorking Wanderers and 1.75 for Bath City. This points to a Dorking Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dorking Wanderers
39%
Draws
30%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bath City.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 12%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Bath City
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy
Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 National League South
Bath City vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Camp B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fisher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
Bath City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Bath City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers scored in 91% of their last 35 games.

Bath City let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dorking Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bath City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Bath City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036