Sport Picks
Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
1'
1'
Nikaj G.
10'
10'
Barbrook H.
14'
14'
Barrett J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
35%
29%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dorking Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Chelmsford at 1.75 per game, Dorking Wanderers at 1.73.
- Dorking Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 13%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorking Wanderers | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford
3:3
Mar 10, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Dorking Wanderers
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Dorking Wanderers
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dorking Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikaj G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barrett J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Barbrook H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alexander G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorking Wanderers 40 / 100
Chelmsford 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorking Wanderers Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dorking Wanderers found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Dorking Wanderers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Chelmsford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorking Wanderers VS Chelmsford
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
88% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorking Wanderers
(Home) 03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3 Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4 Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3 Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4 Southall FC
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2 Chelmsford
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 2 | Dagenham & Red. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Truro | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Billericay | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Farnham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Tonbridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Maidenhead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Hemel Hempstead | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Torquay | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 15 | Folkestone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 16 | Chelmsford | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 17 | Horsham FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 20 | AFC Totton | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:25 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9:27 | 5 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:24 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
