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Dorking Wanderers vs Farnborough

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Meadowbank
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Smith R.
10' Event
Hadi A.
19' Event
Annesley L.

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers host Farnborough in the National League South 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Farnborough have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Dorking Wanderers have conceded 2 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Dorking Wanderers have won 2 to Farnborough's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 5:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.19, favoring Dorking Wanderers. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dorking Wanderers
39%
Draws
30%
Farnborough
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Farnborough.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Farnborough
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Farnborough
5:3
Nov 8, 2025 National League South
Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Farnborough
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 National League South
Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers
3:4
Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Farnborough vs Dorking Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Annesley L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McShane J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hadi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
Farnborough 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Farnborough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Farnborough let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dorking Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Farnborough lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Farnborough
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036