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Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers host Hemel Hempstead in the National League South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Dorking Wanderers at 1.66 goals for, 1.86 against; Hemel Hempstead at 1 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Dorking Wanderers have won 4 to Hemel Hempstead's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Dorking Wanderers. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dorking Wanderers
30%
Draws
23%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dorking Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Hemel Hempstead.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dorking Wanderers taking it.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dorking Wanderers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 16%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Dorking Wanderers
2:0
Nov 25, 2024 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Dorking Wanderers
1:7
Oct 12, 2024 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead
3:2
Mar 12, 2022 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 41 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Dorking Wanderers found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hemel Hempstead has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Dorking Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Hemel Hempstead
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 12 8 1 3 22:13 25
2 Ebbsfleet 9 6 3 0 20:4 21
3 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
4 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
5 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
6 Tonbridge 12 6 2 4 21:11 20
7 Dagenham & Red. 12 6 2 4 10:9 20
8 Weston-super-Mare 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
9 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
10 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
11 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
12 Folkestone 12 4 4 4 18:14 16
13 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
14 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
15 Horsham FC 11 3 5 3 12:13 14
16 Hemel Hempstead 12 3 5 4 10:11 14
17 Farnborough 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
18 Maidenhead 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
21 AFC Totton 12 3 1 8 9:23 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 12 1 1 10 12:31 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)