Sport Picks
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Kilia Kiel
Germany
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 
Match Events
23'
23'
Wurst F.
(Penalty)
27'
27'
Jakubowski Y.
31'
31'
Nader A.
AI Match Summary
Kilia Kiel in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilia Kiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kilia Kiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kilia Kiel lately — more wins on the board than Dornbreite Lubeck.
- Model gives Kilia Kiel a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kilia Kiel have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dornbreite Lubeck | Kilia Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 23 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 3.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.47 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 2.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Dornbreite Lubeck
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Kilia Kiel
2:5
Apr 29, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Dornbreite Lubeck
7:0
Oct 8, 2022 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Kilia Kiel
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dornbreite Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Nader A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Kilia Kiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Jakubowski Y.
3 Goals Assists Leader Muller M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
Kilia Kiel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dornbreite Lubeck Kilia Kiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Kilia Kiel has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Dornbreite Lubeck's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Dornbreite Lubeck has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kilia Kiel
0 Goals Scored 3.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Dornbreite Lubeck
(Home) 17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
05 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
1 : 3 Lubeck II
29 Mar
Dornbreite Lubeck
1 : 6 Heider SV
Page 1 of 3
Kilia Kiel
(Away) 26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2 Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1 Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1 Eichede
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3 Kilia Kiel
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4 Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1 Kilia Kiel
05 Sept
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3 Kilia Kiel
29 Aug
PSV Neumunster
1 : 4 Kilia Kiel
16 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 0 Kilia Kiel
04 Aug
VfR Neumunster
1 : 1 Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 109:43 | 74 |
| 2 | Heider SV | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 90:41 | 68 |
| 3 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 83:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 64:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 62:52 | 41 |
| 6 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 54:56 | 41 |
| 7 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 50:64 | 40 |
| 8 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 66:68 | 38 |
| 9 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49:54 | 37 |
| 10 | Rotenhof | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 58:68 | 35 |
| 11 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:67 | 35 |
| 12 | Lubeck II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 13 | Eckernforder SV | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 53:68 | 32 |
| 14 | TSB Flensburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 51:70 | 31 |
| 15 | Eidertal Molfsee | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 44:85 | 27 |
| 16 | Dornbreite Lubeck | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:104 | 13 |
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
